Quantitative modelling for post Brexit scenarios (UK Agricultural industry)

This document is a briefing for researchers interested in producing an impact assessment and analysis of potential post Brexit scenarios and their impact on the UK agricultural industry. Submissions for the provision of this project should be based on the information contained within this document and sent to AHDB in the format outlined in section 4. To provide AHDB and with impact assessment analysis that will quantify, assess and analyse the impact of various post Brexit scenarios. The analysis must also be able to quantify the impact of: 1. Trade agreements and arrangements 2. Changing levels of support payments to farmers The impact assessment must include the effect of the above on: 1. Farm income 2. Farm outputs 3. Trade volumes and value It would be helpful, but not essential to also have information on the effect on 4. Farm structure. A summary and aims of the research projects are detailed below. AHDB have undertaken analysis to create an outline of likely post Brexit scenarios and these will be provided to the successful applicant. Please note these documents are sensitive to AHDB and should only be used for help create the research brief. They must not be circulated onto a third party or published in any material.