CEFAS24-122 - Contract for Assessing susceptibility to climate change of important UK marine species

Services for desk based study to assess where important UK marine species lie within their global temperature ranges. Using climate scenarios for the UK selected from the IPCCs SSPs, the species thermal ranges and projected sea temperature increases will be used to classify the species as likely to (i) be lost from the UK, (ii) to decline, and (iii) to increase in abundance as a result of warming. By scanning the scientific literature for species living in nearby warmer European waters but not currently in the UK, such as the green ormer (Haliotis tuberculata), species that may (iv) be new arrivals in the UK with warming will be evaluated.